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European actions have exceeded the United States during the month since the inauguration of President Donald Trump, while hope will increase that the region could escape the business war of the worst case.
The Benchmark Stoxx Europe 600 index has won 5.6% since January 17, the last day of negotiation before Trump returned to the White House, while Wall Street, the S&P 500 increased by 2.5% And the Nasdaq composite technology has advanced 2.2 percent.
The unexpected performance of European indices has been motivated by AssetThe decision not to impose immediate prices on the EU, as well as the prospect of peace talks in Ukraine, analysts said.
The EU had been prepared as a major target of Trump policies in Trump America after the American president is committed to imposing prices through the block, but none has yet taken effect.
“For Europe, the trade bark has so far been worse than the bite,” said Andrew Pease, chief investment strategist at Russell Investments. “But other stories are an upward trend in bank loans in the past year” and a drop in interest rates from the European Central Bank, he added.
European actions have benefited from their best beginning of a year since the late 1980s and their strongest performance compared to the United States in almost a decade, analysts of Bank of America said on Wednesday in a note .
Europe’s gains occur despite signs of stagnation in the main economies and are concerned about the regional’s longer-term security while the United States threatens to withdraw military support.
“We were not overwhelmed in Europe at the start of the year – [its strong performance] caught everyone by surprise, “said Daniel Morris, chief market strategist at BNP Paribas Asset Management.
The rally was helped by European fund managers Increase their allowances Since the start of the year, an investigation this week showing that the proportion saying that the actions of the region were undervalued was at a six-year summit.
The sectors, in particular finance, defense – stimulated by the prospect of an increase in spending by European governments – and luxury actions have increased on the lack of prices of the day.
Rheinmetall, the largest ammunition manufacturer in Europe, increased 34% in last month, while the luxury manufacturer Richemont increased by 11%.
UBS analysts last week upgraded their allocation to continental Europe to be overweight, citing the rear wind of the lower energy prices in the event of the end of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, of Lower budget policy and stronger corporate profits.
Hong Kong has been the most efficient major index since the inauguration of Trump, the Hang Seng index increasing by 15% since January 20, led by a rally in Chinese technological actions listed in the territory after the Deepseek shock.
However, the CSI 300 on the Chinese continent only increased by 3%. The rest of Asia was flatter, the wide topix of Japan up 2% and the NIFTY 50 of India down 1%.
However, some analysts have expressed their doubt as to whether Europe’s performance could last throughout the year, especially if the American prices are simply delayed rather than diluted.
Trump warned that European imports could be following after the United States has moved to prices of 25% on Canadian and Mexican imports and an additional 10% levy against Chinese products.
The region’s stock markets fell on Wednesday after the American president said he was planning to impose 25% prices on imports of cars, pharmaceuticals and fries. On Thursday, the Stoxx 500 increased by 0.3%.
“Muscle memory of most investors is that European outperformance can only be for very short periods of small quantities,” said analysts in UBS.
